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    Security Issues and Policy

    Loss of Uzbekistan: Implications for the U.S.

    The May 2005 massacres in Andijan, Uzbekistan, unraveled the post-September 11th U.S.-Uzbek partnership. The U.S. urged an international inquiry into the Andijan massacres, causing Karimov displeasure, who promptly cut ties with the U.S. and demanded that the U.S. troops stationed in Karsi air base in Khanabad leave within 180 days. This paper will assess the implications of the loss of Uzbekistan for the U.S. It will first look at the significance of the Uzbek partnership for the U.S.; then, it will identify benefits and downsides of the loss of Uzbekistan, followed by U.S. policy options in Central Asia and recommendations. Full report

    Myth and Reality of Islamist Extremism in Central Asia

    Problems associated with growing Islamist fundamentalism in Central Asia,especially in the Ferghana Valley, have increasingly attracted public attention for over a decade. Some have argued that the problem is going to pose a threat to regional security. Militant Islam became a reality in the 1999 and 2000 insurgent raids of the Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan in Kyrgyzstan. Recently, the destruction of the Taliban regime and al Qaeda strongholds in Afghanistan have badly damaged the IMU, and some believe it no longer presents a serious threat to Central Asian security, although there is a concern about its resurgence. The secular governments of Central Asia now worry more about an elusive Islamic political party such as Hizb-ut Tahrir al-Islami (HT) and a number of less well-known extremist groupings (Taza Islam, Akramiyya, Lashkar Toiba, among others). These groups are feared to be advocating violence and gaining enough popular support to threaten existing rulers, absent an active government crackdown. A review of some of the Western publications and news reports as well as speeches of regional government officials often points to a serious threat posed by uncompromising and potentially militant Islamists. In the wake of the September 11th terrorist attacks, such rhetoric appears to be increasingly popular. However, this threat is usually exaggerated. Full report